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Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models

    Authors

    • Sukanya K. 1
    • Suneetha T. 2
    • Sukeerthi T. 3
    • Vani A. 3

    1 Department of Statistics, Academic Consultant, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India.

    2 Assistant Professor, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India.

    3 Academic Consultant, Sri Padmavati Mahila Visvavidyalayam, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh,India.

,

Document Type : Research Article

10.47392/irjash.2020.172
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Abstract

In India, the best embody of malaria occurred within the year 1950’s with associate calculable 75 million cases and 0.8 million deaths per Annum (World Health Organization, country office for India). The model was used for the forecasting of the year wise incidence of Malaria whereas Auto regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models was used for forecasting for the years 2020 and 2022 in Republic of India (Bharat) our study provides that of the ARIMA model was designated as best suited model to predict the longer term incidents of malaria cases within the fourth approaching period in India.

Keywords

  • time series
  • ARIMA models
  • Malaria
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International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub
Volume 02, Special Issue ICIES 9S - Issue Serial Number 9
September 2020
Page 120-133
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History
  • Receive Date: 05 September 2021
  • Revise Date: 18 September 2021
  • Accept Date: 23 September 2021
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  • Article View: 241
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APA

K., S. , T., S. , T., S. and A., V. (2020). Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models. International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, 02(Special Issue ICIES 9S), 120-133. doi: 10.47392/irjash.2020.172

MLA

K., S. , , T., S. , , T., S. , and A., V. . "Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models", International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, 02, Special Issue ICIES 9S, 2020, 120-133. doi: 10.47392/irjash.2020.172

HARVARD

K., S., T., S., T., S., A., V. (2020). 'Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models', International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, 02(Special Issue ICIES 9S), pp. 120-133. doi: 10.47392/irjash.2020.172

CHICAGO

S. K. , S. T. , S. T. and V. A., "Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models," International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, 02 Special Issue ICIES 9S (2020): 120-133, doi: 10.47392/irjash.2020.172

VANCOUVER

K., S., T., S., T., S., A., V. Incidents of Malaria in India using ARIMA Models. International Research Journal on Advanced Science Hub, 2020; 02(Special Issue ICIES 9S): 120-133. doi: 10.47392/irjash.2020.172

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